Wednesday, January 21, 2009

NUFC.relegation




So I'm way into the English Premiership these days and selected Newcastle United Football Club as my team. As luck would have it, we're pretty much in our darkest days as a EPL side. My buddy Coleman emailed me today and we were discussing whether or not Newcastle would be relegated this year if the club owner didn't spend some money this month to bring in outside talent. Here's my reply to him:

Leeds, at least from what I've read, has an extremely loyal fanbase. Even when they went down the SECOND time, their attendance was still respectable. According to Wikipedia, they've averaged 26,500 this season. That puts them in the neighborhood of Hull City, Stoke, Portsmouth, West Brom Albion, Fullham, Bolton, Wigan, and Blackburn. In Champ, the only team that is close to the same attendance is Derby- all others are lower and obviously they're miles ahead of anyone else in One.

So what's the point?

Sports teams, whether American, English, or whatever, make more money when they win than when they lose. Supporters, fans, whatever you want to call them, will follow a winner more willingly (and financially) than a loser. This is really the only reason the owners have an impetus to spend money.

Every once in awhile though, you end up with a loser team that for whatever reason, has a ton of support behind it- Chicago Cubs being perhaps the most obvious example of this. By simply being loyal supporters, the wrong message is inadvertently sent and the owners, being the businessmen that they are, spend nothing to improve the situation because there's no financial reason to- they may have a loser, but people support the team as though they were a winner.

I get the impression that Leeds was that way. Sir Alex himself said that Elland was one of the most intimidating places in all of Europe and the attendance stats speak for themselves- Leeds has fantastic support regardless of what league the team plays in.

This is exactly what worries me about Newcastle- we're the same exact way. Super loyal fanbase (we're currently in 3rd behind Man U and Arsehole in average attendance this season) that will come and buy stuff regardless of the current state of the team. Lots of folks think that Ashley will spend money to keep us up, but honestly, I don't see any reason why he would. After the mass exodus of players and their contracts, it's entirely possible that NUFC could be more profitable as a Championship side than a Premiership side.

So am I worried we'll go down? Yeah. Because unless the players suddenly man up and start playing with their heads up or WBA, Stoke, Tottenham, etc. completely lose the plot and distance themselves from us the wrong way I don't see what else can happen. I think it's unlikely that we'll have many new faces show up in the next week.

Friday, January 2, 2009

Analog2Digital.change

Ok, I'm totally 100% sick of hearing about the change to digital. From what I understand, less than 20 million U.S. households still receive their broadcasts exclusively over-the-air. That being the case, why the hell are we still talking about it? If you watch TV at all, then you know this big change is coming because IT'S BEEN ON EVERY NETWORK FOR THE PAST YEAR.

How much is the goverment spending on ad time for this business? We're talking about 20 million households- that's roughly how many households subscribe to SiriusXM, the number of households who use cell phones only (with no landline), the number of households who have no internet access, or roughly the amount of illegal immigrants currently estimated to reside in this country.

In other words, it's a relatively small number of people, and again, if you haven't heard about it by now, then you don't watch TV anyway. This kind of stuff is what keeps our government in a perpetual state of being out of dough.

Now though, our new President wants to delay the changeover because the funds have run out and people are still waiting on their coupons.

(Ignore the fact that the U.S. Government has dished out 24 million coupons and there are only 20 million houses that receive OTA transmissions)

Sigh.